Assessing the Impact of Climate Change and Extreme Value Uncertainty to Extreme Flows across Great Britain
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Uncertainty , Extreme Outcomes , and Climate Change
Focusing on tail effects — low probability but very adverse outcomes — I incorporate distributions for temperature change and its economic impact in an analysis of climate change policy. I estimate the fraction of consumption w(τ ) that society would be willing to sacrifice to ensure that any increase in temperature at a future point is limited to τ . Using information on the distributions for ...
متن کاملClimate Change Impact on Precipitation Extreme Events in Uncertainty Situation; Passing from Global Scale to Regional Scale
Global warming and then climate change are important topics studied by researchers throughout the world in the recent decades. In these studies, climatic parameters changes are investigated. Considering large-scaled output of AOGCMs and low precision in computational cells, uncertainty analysis is one of the principles in doing hydrological studies. For this reason, it is tried that investigati...
متن کاملThe Extreme Uncertainty of Extreme Climate Change: An Overview and Some Implications
The possibility of catastrophic climate change is characterized by deep structural uncertainties in the science coupled with an economic inability to evaluate meaningfully the welfare losses from high temperatures. The probability of a disastrous collapse of planetary welfare from global warming seems non-negligible, even if this low probability is very di¢ cult to quantify. Through informal re...
متن کاملExtreme value theory for precipitation: sensitivity analysis for climate change
Extreme value theory for the maximum of a time series of daily precipitation amount is described. A chain-dependent process is assumed as a stochastic model for daily precipitation, with the intensity distribution being the gamma. To examine how the eective return period for extreme high precipitation amounts would change as the parameters of the chain-dependent process change (i.e., probabili...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Water
سال: 2017
ISSN: 2073-4441
DOI: 10.3390/w9020103